In an average year, our
family business will buy, sell, and finance $10 million to $15 million in
deals. That volume gives us a pretty good read on market conditions, and we
stay in close contact with dozens of buyers, sellers, and brokers. Over the
years, we've learned that there are generally two types of players in this
game:
The first are Dealmakers, and the second, to borrow a term from the car
business, Tire Kickers.
Dealmakers vs. Tire Kickers
Tire kickers look at
dozens of properties and talk a great game, but don’t really know enough to
take decisive action. Dealmakers know how to close the gap between the
offered and asking price and successfully close deals. A Tire Kicker has
little knowledge of the market or what he is looking for; a Dealmaker knows
where to invest because he has researched the market, knows what to look
for, and doesn't waste time looking at properties that do not fit his
criteria.
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A Tire Kicker has not
established lender relationships or business plan and asks every seller
for 100% financing; a Dealmaker has existing lender relationships, can
bid an all-cash price, or can assume existing loans.
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A Tire Kicker figures
he can manage the property cheaper--not by improving the operation, but
by cutting corners; a Dealmaker knows exactly how he will manage and
improve the property and anticipates the costs.
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A Tire Kicker analyzes
a property based solely on the most recent annual operating statement; a
Dealmaker will examine the trend of operations over several years,
eliminate anomalies, and integrate the information with overall market
trends.
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A Tire Kicker will
capitalize the net operating income at a “market” rate for valuation; a
Dealmaker will be more aggressive and use a rate that reflects their own
return and loan requirements.
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A Tire Kicker will
base the valuation on the operations as stated; a Dealmaker will use a
normalized, forward-looking projection that reflects his operation of
the property and the effects of an improvement plan.
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A Tire Kicker attempts
to make one deal structure fit every situation (e.g., seller financing);
a Dealmaker finds the seller’s most pressing need and structures the
offer accordingly.
My old deal folders are
full of unconsummated offers from tire kickers. When we're selling property,
we try to flush out tire kickers quickly to avoid wasting time on a deal
that has little hope of closing. It is often an intuitive judgment, but in
most cases, I can size up buyers by how they approach the deal. They make
low-ball offers before they even look at the property. Or they fill the
offer with weasel clauses and a laundry list of contingencies. They have no
bank references or track record that indicates they can perform. Tire
kickers are often unsure of themselves, and it shows.
How to Spot True Dealmakers
True Dealmakers are easy
to spot. A true Dealmaker knows his financial capacity in cash and credit;
he has criteria for property type, market, and minimum return requirements.
He uses the tools of financial measurement to quickly evaluate the property,
then formulates a game plan and deal structure that allow him to achieve his
goals. He doesn't grind the seller for the last dime of price concessions
because he knows that the real proof of the deal is in the ability to make
the plan a reality. Interestingly, years of experience does not
automatically mean a buyer is a dealmaker, nor is a new investor a
guaranteed tire kicker.
The determining factor is the extent of the investor’s preparation. In a
nutshell, the dealmaker has taken the time to think things through. He has a
firm grasp of his financial capacity and knows what, where, and when he
wants to invest. He has a business plan that addresses those criteria, and
taken the time to form lender relationships. In short, he is ready to act
when the opportunity appears.
We recently sold an apartment project. It was a “B” property in a very good
market. Within the first couple of weeks it was on the market, we received
five written offers. Two of them were low-ball, contingency-laden offers
from pure tire kickers. The remaining three offers were very close in price,
but widely divergent in terms. One of them had not seen the property, wanted
us to finance 90% of the price, and asked us for the names of available fee
managers in the market.
The second buyer did a property inspection and seemed financially qualified,
but wanted us to wait until they could put their current property on the
market, secure a buyer, and complete a 1031 exchange. The third buyer
performed a personal site inspection, then made an all cash offer. His terms
included a thirty-day inspection period and closing within thirty days after
acceptance of the property condition, with no contingencies other than clear
title and survey. The property fit his investment criteria for location,
size and management requirements.
He was prepared to accommodate our needs for a 1031 exchange if needed. He
based the valuation on the current rent roll and normalized operations under
his ownership, and used the pre-closing period to form an improvement plan
to increase income. As you may have guessed, this is the buyer we chose to
work with, and the deal closed as agreed. This is a shining example of a
dealmaker at work.
Four Basic Steps to Structuring
Great Deals
1.) If you want to build
significant wealth in commercial real estate, you have to take the time to
think things through. Great commercial real estate deals don’t just happen;
they are created by dealmakers, those who have taken the time to develop a
strategy to accomplish their investment goals. What does such a strategy
look like? It’s simpler than you might think.
2.) Get your personal financial house in order. Orient your financial
affairs to serve your purpose. Only then, can you be ready to act when
opportunity appears. Form your criteria for property type, size, and
location. As the saying goes, if you don’t know what you're looking for, you
might not find it. Observe the local market and identify opportunities
within your capacity.
3.) Once you’ve identified a potential deal, learn how to accurately
value a property based on its condition, your return requirements, and your
borrowing power. Decide whether a deal is good based on fact, not emotions
or the opinion of the moment.
4.) Learn how to structure deals and make offers too good to refuse.
Act decisively, and then reap the profits.